Thursday, December 20, 2018

BY MARCH NEXT YEAR ?



I was going to write a thoughtful and reasoned post predicting that Trumpfski would be gone by the beginning of 2020,Theresa May by June 2019 ,Macron by  March 2020 and Corbyn before the next UK election.

Only the last prediction was more wishful thinking than analysis.I fear the Labour party will split before Corbyn goes.

This week's events in Washington indicate that the 2020 date was a Cyclops bias; hoping Trumpfski would survive  long enough to destroy the Publicans in the 20020 Presidential,Senate,House and Governorship elections in November of that year.

In the last month or so: 
  • US stock Markets in complete rout--down almost twenty per cent since October.
  • General Mattis resigns,following Kelly two weeks ago.
  • The last of the four Trumpfski's  Generals
  • Judge refuses to go along with ultra soft plea deal given to General Flynn
  • Trumpfski Lawyer Cohen  points finger directly at the president
  • National enquirer publisher confirms he paid off Stormy and Karen to shut them up before the election.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 
  • Trumpfski "charity" foundation closed at behest of New York City Legal Department
  • Newly elected New York State Attorney General vows to investigate ALL of Trumpfski's business ties with Italian and Russian Mafia
  • As well as New York State Tax Avoidance.
  • She also pledges to look into the role of the"children' and son in law Kushner.                                                                                                                                                                                              
  • Kushner under investigation by Mueller
  • So is Ivanka.
  • House Democrats have only just begun to sharpen their investigatory knives.
  • Even the Senate Publicans voted to condemn Trumpfski's support of  Saudi Crown prince bin Salman
  • The Senate is cutting off funding for support of Yemen attrocities
  • Kim Young Il openly reneges on the "Denuclearisation  deal",demanding US de nukes first.
  • Sen ate refuses to ratify the "NEW,BETTER" NAFTA deal.                                                                     
  • Steel and China Tariffs back fire.
  • Growth slows.
  • Soy and Dairy farmers demand bail out
  • Trump Slump begins
  • Judge over rules Trumpfski regulations on border control                                                                      
  • Rogue Judge rules Obamacare "unconstitunional"--calling bluff on Publicans and
  •  Throwing their Congressional leadership into a funk.
  •  Funk deepened into panic by Trumpfski temper tantrum over his WALL
  •  Publicans cannot even get a minor Wall funding bill through the house
  •  The  forty+ Publicans defeated or retired at elections in November ain't coming back to DC to vote for Trumpfski  and
  • The rest got the message 
  •  Trumpfski can't count--votes that is
  • He still thinks he won the popular vote in 2016
                                                
                                                        AND ON AND ON
Two thirds of the 30 starting Cabinet Members and Senior non Cabinet officials [CIA,UN,FBI,Press Secretary,Chief of Staff etc] are gone--in disgrace or humiliation.
Only one left on her own terms and with her reputation intact
Watch your back Nikki 😈

A few crooks,the enablers and the donors remain--for now.
  •        Wilbur Ross---       Commerce
  •        Steve Mnuchin       Treasury
  •        Sonny Perdue                       Agriculture
  •        Betsy de Vos                        Education
  •        Linda McMahon                 Small Business
  •        Ben Carson                         HUD
  •        Rick Perry                           Energy
  •        Mick Mulvaney                   OMB
  •       Kelly Anne Conway            Factotum
Those who left hoping to escape criminal investigation can now look forward to House Oversight Hearings
As can those who remain.

Alex Acosta --Secy of Labour-- given any sweetheart deals to billionaire pedophiles lately
Enquiring minds want to know 👹

The wheels are visibly coming off and next year brings subpoenas for Donald Jnr and Ivanka to appear before the House and Grand Juries in New York.

How do you think the Donald will react to seeing Ivanka questioned on TV about the foundation ;and her role in the Trump Hotel Baku and the failed project in Moscow?

And Oh Yes that dossier--- so roundly debunked and ignored by the Publican Chairmen[they were all men] in the House--has so far proved to be accurate. Expect it to be back on the Political agenda.

Golden shower anyone?😭




       
      












Wednesday, December 12, 2018

In Search of the Last Straw



                                              So what do you expect me to write?
 


No matter where in the World you live, dear reader,you  are following the 24/7 news cycle as much as the rest of us.

 Time and again HRH wondered whether "this" or "that" would be the last straw for

  •  his bigot base
  •  the evangelical zealots
  •  for perhaps  a dozen patriotic Publican Senators
  •  for Paul Ryan--sorry ed.just kidding
  •  for at least Susan [reaching across the aisle]Collins
  •  [now you are kidding-ed.]
  •  for Melania

  • Surely the pious evangelicals would not stomach "grabbing by the crotch"?
  • Stormy Daniels
  • Multiple other sexual shenanigans
  • Let alone the two ecclesiasticals
  • The only Church attendance is the Golf Course at Mar A Lago

  • The promise/refusal to release the tax returns
  • Insulting Gold Star Parents
  • Naked Nepotism
  • Using the office for personal financial gain
  • Chinese trademark grant to the Trump Organization
  • Emoluments clause and Trump DC Hotel
  • Trump University

  • Tax Cuts targeted to the rich and to multinational companies
  • Steel Tariffs on Canada et al. 
  • Harming the the very industrial belt that got him elected
  • Trade "war" with China,devastating his farmer,rural voter base.
  • Trade spats with all the allies
  • But trying to lift sanctions on Russia


  • Russian entanglements
  • Putin worship
  • Fake deals with North Korea
  • Fake changes to NAFTA
  • Undermining NATO 
  • Threats to unilaterally break Treaties--climate change ,nuclear,trade,Iran
  • Picking squabbles with Merkel,Macron,May,Trudeau,the Aussie One etc

  • Supporting the two of the three largest financiers of terrorism and deadly instability--Russia and Saudi.
  • The Persians[the third]  must have diddled Trumpski in his TRUMP TOWER  BAKU deal  with General Mohammad Ali Jafariof the Revolutionary Guard.
  • [Ed: Who?]
  • [Cyclops: Do try to keep up--wait for Ivanka's Testimony to various House Committees]
  • By coincidence Russia and Saudi are the largest financiers of the Trumpski Empire and 
  • Potentially that of  Un Yung Yared 

  • Trump has destroyed most of  any remaining benefits of Pax America.
  • No coincidence that on Trump's watch Putin and bin Salman felt licenced to brazenly murder inconvenient opponent in the UK and Turkey.
  • Adding to their much longer list at home.

  • Comey Firing
  • Insulting Judges
  • Dissing the intelligence services when they reach inconvenient conclusions.
  • Inconvenient for Trump and Kushner business plans that is.
  • Losing Law Suits--Personal and and Executive Branch
  • Hounding the Attorney general[A world class bigot in his own right]

  • Race Based Immigration Bans
  • Tearing infants and children from the arms of their desperate mothers
  • THE WALL
  • Fake claims of illegal voting
  • Ignoring Russian Hacking
  • Generally blaming "the other"
  • White Supremacy
  • Charlottesville

  • Puerto Rico Hurricane Devastation
  • Tossing Toilet rolls

Cyclops is well aware that much of this would delight his bigot base and the "know nothings" in the Real America.            "We got two Supremes"
  •  HRH did not dream for a moment that his base would give a damn about Jared's Saudi mate butchering a US based journalist.
  • But after a momentary unification with their souls what has the Publican Senate done about this extraordinary and brutal disrespect to US values?
  • A "smoking chain saw" is a good one liner Senator Lyndsey Graham.
  • Now what?

  • Cyclops really wanted to believe that at least part of his base would be offended by his  travel to  Europe to "celebrate"the 100th anniversary of end to  WW1 
  • Then skipping a planned visit to pay respect at a US Veterans Cemetery.
  • At least General Kelly had sufficient respect to brave the drizzly weather.
  • Then on return to the US the President,who is "very big,the biggest" on the the military was too busy to ride the mile from the White House to Arlington National Cemetery on Memorial Day.

  •  Yet his "support " seems to remain loyally comatose--that's the  Publican Elected officials.
  • Going down with the ship?
  • The bigot base will always be with him but it is astonishing that the last poll the Court reviewed still showed a 39% to 52% approval/disapproval rating.
  • When will it finally arrive at the 33% bigot + evangelical base?
  • No doubt the collapse will come just after the sane in America give up in  disbelief.


The lies,denials,the pantomime and the michigas continues

 Despair not mes braves.
The mid term success of the Democrats was indeed a Trump referendum.
It opens the gate to proper congressional review

  • We are living through the beginning of the end.
  • Too much evidence,too many convictions,too many obvious crimes.
  • Too many associates taking a plea.
  • A Democratic House  waiting to unleash a tsunami of investigations
  • Nobody volunteering to be Chief of Staff.
  • King Lear will be abandoned in his redoubt.

Within a month of Ivanka giving her testimony,the men in white coats will do their duty.
As you read this, McConnell is arranging the logistics.

Sunday, December 9, 2018

BREXIT PREDICTIONS REDUX


June 24, 2016                                  DAY AFTER REFERENDUM                                                         Pols… parroting that this is “what the people decided" .
This despite one interviewer pressing on the wisdom and constitutionality of such a small margin in a referendum determining how our elected representatives then vote in parliament.

 In the short run: 
  • There will be some financial dislocation [panic?].
  • I predict that the polls will indicate firmer support for Brexit & "Britain can do it" sentiment.
  • Cognitive dissonance avoidance.
  • Once the implications sink in, watch for significant buyer’s remorse.
  • Hopefully that will be very clear before parliament votes.

The “Lords to the Rescue"?

An election under new leadership before the vote?

                                          The FAT LADY has yet to sing.

June 27, 2016                                               PREDICTIONS
  • Many Members of Parliament will vote their conscience and reject the referendum
  • The Lords are unelected....
  • The UK will not leave the EU
  • The YOOF may now reconsider!
  • Theresa May beats Bonking Boris.
  • Election called before end of year.
  • The four major UK  parties led by a REMAIN politician 
  • The whole michigas [madness] will be reversed within a year. Looking for a bookie to take my bet.
  • Buyer’s Remorse Rules
BY 11th October 2016                                  BREXIT UPDATE
  Cyclops derides the MAY government’s decision to trigger Article50 and to begin the fuse running for exit.
  • This before defining its strategy or its objectives beyond the asinine “Brexit means Brexit”
  •  Before elections in France, Germay, Italy and Holland!
  • She gave away her best negotiating cards by signaling the timing of the start of formal exit and
  • appearing to abandon a determination to stay in the European Single Market
  5th November 2016             BREXIT -THE FAT LADY IS NOT SINGING                                                                                    Cyclops doubles down on his predictions:
            “..The fat lady has gone on vacation. 
                                                          King Cyclops predicts Britain will stay in the single market 
            and may not even leave the EU" 
                                                                                                                                                                                                       WE ain't leaving the EU---not Really.                                                                 
November 30, 2017                                               Dateline London

This one year old post is worth reading in its entirety

 Cyclops concluded with:

  • In any event the UK will change its mind.
  • Legitimise the about turn either through another referendum.
  • One person, one vote, one time is truly Stalinist----this Jezza and the boys understand.
  • Or through a series of parliamentary votes
  • Or a crisis election.
                                    THE FAT LADY WILL NEVER SING.

In the meantime we are living through the most incompetent UK government since the Corn Laws
                               Perhaps the worst ever- --At least until the next one.
The only real question is whether the UK can abandon Brexit in time to be in the EU before it all collapses.

A Year Later 26 September 2018                    PREDICTIONS
Pretty much the same just reworded:   BREXIT 
  • The fat lady will not sing.
  • She will not be fooled by a Canadian /Norwegian/Swiss or Montenegrin Solution.   
                                              Brexit will NOT mean Brexit.  
        Britain Knows. 
  • There will be a "Peoples Vote" in one form or another.
  • That's a 2nd referendum.
  • This is the only remaining road to Salvation.
Unless of course Brexiteers follow the logic of their own rhetoric :
  •  Call for Parliament to decide .
  •  On a free vote by each member member.
  •  Each then subject to the judgment of her/his constituents.
  •  A return to British Representative Democracy.
  • Through the will of Parliament.

                                   Stranger things have/are happened/happening.

After this outcome of Epic Norse or Greek Proportions--the EU may then proceed to collapse under the weight of its internal contradictions.
 or the stupidity of its leaders.
       
                                      At least Jezza would be happy as he tends his allotment.






Friday, December 7, 2018

Cyclops Returns