Saturday, August 3, 2019

BRECON BECKONS-- AS the SIRENS of YORE?

   Brecon and Radnorshire by-election:


             Lib Dems beat Conservatives bbc   2 August 2019                                                                                     https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-politics-49200636


  •  Lib Dems turned 8,038 majority to beat Conservative by 1,425 votes .  
  •  First test for Bonking Boris eight days after becoming prime minister.
  • Soonest ever by-election defeat for any new prime minister

                 So clear eh?      Well yes ; and Not so Much.

The result is Dramatic 
Especially compared to the General election a mere 2 years ago


It is certainly an impressive LIBDEM victory
Reducing Tory majority in parliament to a single vote
  Further guaranteeing that Johnson cannot get a "no deal" exit through a parliamentary vote.
      Trying to circumvent parliament ,guaranteeing a "Hard Irish Border" will make enemies of his         DUP Ulster allies.
                 A subsequent parliamentary vote of "no confidence" could trigger an election or                         [CYCLOPS wonders] a change of Prime Minister formed by a "national coalition" of   MPs just to sort out BREXIT--through a referendum👾.


The results themselves can be interpreted in subtle ways by thoughtful partisans.

It is certainly an impressive LIB-DEM victory
                But they occupied this  seat for 25  of last 34 years         
Losing in 2015 general election after 5 years of disastrous, ill conceived coalition with the Tories.  
It could be argued their 14% gain and Tory 10% loss of share is a return to the position ex ante.
Probably 5% vote came from Greens and Plaid staying out to get a united REMAIN platform.
These 3 parties and the REMAIN campaign claim a mandate TO REMAIN.
Fair enough,but CON+BREXIT+UKIP= 50%  


Adding Labour to the notional REMAIN share= 49%

CYCLOPS must conclude that on the issue of the day the Monster Raving Loony Party 1.1% hold the balance💪 of power.
If only they knew what their vast party membership wanted ; but many of their traditional supporters are now paid up members  the Tory & Labour parties 😜
How else do YOU explain BORIS & JEZZA ?

The biggest loser on the night was undoubtedly CORBYN
Labour vote dropped from 7,386 in 2017 to 1,680
From a share of  18% to 5%
A Labour vote of  5% in WALES😡😢😠😒😖
The worst defeat for the Welsh Workers Party since the Romans

                                        
                  ANEURIN           Men of Harlech               NEIL                              Forgive him for Corbyn knows NOT what he does.
No,Literally
 This result will surely finish off Corbyn and his Stalinist Clicque.
AND
Yes Auntie,that result would be good for the Jews.









    
  








  • No comments:

    Post a Comment