Biden falling into 3-way tie with Warren and Sanders ?

  Poll shows Biden falling into 3-way tie with Warren and Sanders          CBS 8/27/19

      

                  This Monmouth Poll created Democrat consternation         

And glee amongst Republican "strategists

                                                                                                         

   Both emotions proved premature:                                          Biden back on top, enjoying wide leads in two new polls politico 08/28/2019  

 Polls published on Wednesday show Joseph R. Biden Jr. with a significant national lead  NYTIMES              

average

28.9 Biden +11.8

17.1 Sanders

16.5 Warren

7.0 Harris

But the hiccup of the Monmouth Poll may presage a real threat to the Biden candidacy.

King Cyclops has therefore agreed to reveal the psephology behind the Royal Court's predictions,prognoses,punditry and probabilities.

We use the following equation.                                               PrBN=100% -∑{Ttw + ꝺTp  } + Bd - Rc+ Pe - DM - V s  - {ث + בּשּ }

Where:

•   PrBN  = Probability of Biden Nomination 
•  Ttw     = Trump tweet density ; 
•  ꝺTp     = delta Trump approval/disapproval 
•  Bd       = Biden Decency 
•  Rc       = Republican Courage Index;  
•  TPri     =Trump Popular Revulsion Index; 
•  DM     =Democratic Mess Quotient ;
•  Vs       = Voter Suppression Effectiveness
•   ث        =Muslim turnout 
• בּשּ        = Jewish Angst                                                                                                                                                                        The interpretations of the equation results results are of course heavily reliant on the wry wit,wisdom and insights of HRHKC                                                                                   The mathematically inclined might notice the "Biden Warning" revealed by the equation:                                                                
•  The more the electorate concludes that Trump is what he is.
• That not only must he be defeated,humiliated and then indicted.
• The clearer it becomes that at least half a dozen of the Democratic aspirants can comfortably beat him next year.
• If ,that is,he is even on the ballot.
• Therefore Biden's chief electoral asset --that he can beat Trump--is increasingly devalued.
• Any stumble or hint of losing the pace can lead to a rapid defection to others 
• Who the polls  show can also beat Trump.                                               Herein lies the Biden Achiles Heel 
  
                                                                                                       It may increasingly feel to Democratic activists that ANYONE can beat Trump.                                                                                            The sirens will sing.                                                                      Beware the Rocks me Hearties.                                                    Sanders vs Trump in 2020 ?                                                               🙋 Warren Please                                                          If Biden falls and Harris continues to lose traction .                          Then CYCLOPS will look to the B team:                                  Butticieg or Booker for late runs down the middle.