NH Bad/ Mixed Result for Clinton ?

Bad/ Mixed Result  for Clinton ?

 

   Republican primary  
    

	Vote	Pct.
Donald Trump	100,406	35.3%
John Kasich	44,909	15.8%
Ted Cruz	33,189	11.7%
Jeb Bush	31,310	11.0%
Marco Rubio	30,032	10.6%
Chris Christie	21,069	7.4%
Carly Fiorina	11,706	4.1%
Ben Carson	6,509	2.3%

				I got it wrong on Trump(f). I though his bubble would deflate after 2nd place in Iowa.But he came roaring back. With Canadian Cruz crashing Trump is the major non establishment candidate and presumptive nominee unless he BLOWS  South Carolina.This is good for Hillary.

 Got it right on Cruz.He peaked in Iowa ,narrow third here within 1% of both Bush  & Rubio. He dropped to 11.7% after 28% in Iowa.Has to make major comeback in S.Carolina .He might,there are apparently lots of evangelicals there and Rubio may be mortally wounded.If  not he slithers into oblivion ;maybe staying in enough primaries to drain evangelicals from Rubio.

   Rubio was another  BIG loser 23% in Iowa to <11 in NH.But worse he really did look CALLOW    and Programmed at the same time.Christie did savage him in the debates.To the advantage of            Bush and Kacich. Christie is GONE .Like Moriarty ,he went over the falls hugging Rubio
close but like Sherlock , Rubio may not be dead --yet.But Christie is actually dead."who wields the   dagger rarely wears the crown ".

   Bush has risen !--maybe the evangelicals will see the light.He beat Rubio.Shocked me.

   Kacich did himself the most good 2% in Iowa to 16% in NH by far the biggest change.The pundits are still not giving him much chance "South Carolina,Nevada,the South not his ground blah blah.Lets Hope Not.Lets See .If they are wrong he beats Clinton in November.

    There are 3 plausible "mainstream ' runners left . Kacich ,Bush  & Rubio.If they can all stay close through  April then maybe Trump wins.In any event they bleed each other and Trump wins.And  that's good for Hilary.The Clinton luck still holds.The Republican pros really want a decisive result  for one of the them in South Carolina,with the other two dropping out.Hope springs...Its not obvious   that is likely.But oh the irony if its "dead man" Bush and then the establishment rallies round him to   stop Trumpf  [Ted Who?]. Bush wins and after all the Sturm und Drang its Bush vs Clinton !!
       The gods have played worse tricks.

              

     

                  Democratic primary

	Vote	Pct.
Bernie Sanders	151,578	60.4%
Hillary Clinton	95,249	8.0%

             No two ways about it a dreadful result for Clinton.Worse was the manner of the defeat.

             Grumpy Bill,clueless Allbright  and a desperate plea to the "sisterhood"emphasised the                        campaign's tin ear.Insulting the intelligence of young women will not get you what you want  No not that.I have daughters and they have girl friends ,colleagues and classmates.If I know that they are way past "vote for a woman" because "she is a woman" then how come the geniuses in the Clinton campaign  do not know.This is political malpractice.The scale of the defeat is stunning.

          Clintonites, do not panic--yet.The luck holds .South Carolina next:large black Democratic        electorate expected to go big for Hillary.Ironic that a state with zero chance of going democratic         in November will have such influence on the democratic nominee.Of course the pundits and the Clinton campaign team which assumes that African Americans are an overwhelming lock for Hillary are the same savants who based their comeback in New Hampshire on gender solidarity.Hmm.

                       If Clinton does not win big in S.Carolina--then panic.

           And if Bernie gets the nomination,bless him, how do you think he will do against Bush or         Kasich or Van Trumf , after an October terrorist attack in a mall in Philadelphia.

           
            Food for thought.