Monday, March 2, 2020

Scenario--you choose

                                                    SENT BY EMAIL FEBRUARY 25
 Cyclops is obligated to give an honest prognosis before the Democratic  Debate in Charleston tonight.
    And restate why a Sanders led ticket will boost Trump' s chances -- again .           

But First let us stipulate:
  •  Sanders has the momentum.
  •  His economic,health and equality policies are not as extreme as Trump,the Trolls and the Medya  claim or imply.
  • Let alone as radical as Sanders boasts. 
  • Much of it is mainstream policy for the UK Tories, and
  • Merkel's Christian Democrats
  • Let alone Social Democrats across Europe.
  • Much of the "difference" between Sanders and Biden,Klobishar,Butiicieg et al is about,structure, timing and practicality
  • Not about the objective.                                                                                                                                                                                
Who on the Democratic stage
  • Does NOT want Universal Health Coverage 
  • Does NOT want Mandatory Parental Leave   
  • Does NOT want to Increase Taxes on the Wealthy
  • Does NOT want to give Citizenship to "the  Dreamers"
  • Does NOT want to end the separation of families at the border 
  • Does NOT  to ban ownership of assault weapons---OOPS
  • That's SandersMan facepalming 
Sanders is a Socialist in his own mind .Not in ownership and control of the means of production,distribution and exchangeRoseFacepunch


Cyclops is unaware that he has advocated:
  • Government taking over the Banks                                          
  • Government taking over the Pharmaceutical Companies
  • Government taking over the Internet
  • Government taking over the Amazon or Google    

NOPE💁
  • He has advocated more effective regulation,
  • Oversight and legal constraints.
  • Since Teddy Roosevelt,who hasn't ?
  • The Republicans.
  • Not the other contenders for the nomination
  • Sanders is NOT Jeremy Corbyn
  • By contrast, Sanders reads,writes and can think.
  • Corbyn can ONLY speak in slogans
  • Sanders just chooses to.
  • Sanders'  policies are mostly [pace real gun control]  mainstream European Social Democratic 
  • Rather than Democratic Socialist                                                                                                                                                                                                                
ED:                     So what is your problem with Sanders?
CYCLOPS:  
  1.   He is the one MOST likely to lose to Trump 
  2.   Posturing and Preening as a Democratic Socialist may work in                                      Europe 
  3.   But he is running in the USA  
  4.   Many of his policy proposals sound good but are half baked
  5.   Unclear and Un-costed
  6.  Begging for unintended consequences
  7.  He has achieved next to nothing in twenty years in the Senate
  8.  He was unhelpful on several Obama initiatives,preferring to grandstand rather than support
  9.  He has now run twice for the Democratic nomination but deigns to join the Democratic party  
  10.   He is the one MOST likely to lose to Trump                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      
         ED:  That's it ?           
CYCLOPS: NOT ENOUGH 😡          Sorry lets remind ourselves 
                        The object of this excercise is to:
  1. Get Rid of Trump
  2.  Save the Republic
  3.  Get rid of Trump
  4.  Restore the rule of Law
  5.  Get rid of Trump
  6.  Capture the Senate 
  7.  Get rid of Trump  
  8.  Hold onto the House  
  9.  Get rid of Trump
  10.  Restore the Supreme Court
  11.  Get rid of Trump
  12.  Make America Respected Again -MARA                                                  
 ED:Don't you have a grand daughter named MARA 
CYC:Raising hand Stuck out tongue winking eyeJust could not resist WinkBlush 

 Now Ed et al:
                 Look in the mirror,sigh and be honest with yourself.
                       What probability do you give to a
  •                 Divisive
  •                 79 years old
  •                 Self proclaimed Socialist
  •                 From the northernmost and 
  •                 second smallest state
  •                 Who almost all experienced Democrat believe will have                         no down ballot coattails  
  •                 Depends on mobilising & expanding YOOF turnout 
  •                 Polls poorly with suburban women in all the swing states                      and  beyond
  •                 Seems insouciant about the risk of tipping the Presidency                      to Trump--Again             and
  •                 Has NOT "played well with others"                                                                                                                                                                    Winning in November?

Scenario 1 A
                      Sanders does well in the debate,in the SC primary and on                                      Super Tuesday.
                      Biden,Buticieg and Klobishar stay in the race hoping to be                                      last centrist standing
                      Sanders wins on second ballot at a bitter convention
                      Bloomberg and Styer do not throw their money behind                                            a perceived loser.
                      Democrats do not win the Senate
                      Lose seats/control of the House
Scenario 1 B    
                          October Suprise
                          Sanders having successfully concealed his medical data
                          has a coronary on October 30th
                          Democratic turnout in November collapses
                          Democrats lose the House  
                          Democrats lose senate seats
                          Democrats lose 20 more Governorships
                          Democrats lose any influence on redistricting in 42 states
         
 
Scenario 2
                     Biden clearly outperforms tonight 
                     On Saturday in SC  primary
                     On Super Tuesday
                     Klobichar [CYCLOPS preferred]announces on Sunday                                          she is dropping out
                    Backs Joe to save the party and the country
                    The next day Butticieg[CYCLOPS 2nd favourite] does the                                       same.
                    After doing poorly on Super Tuesday both Bloomberg and                                     Styer commit to spending big time to beat Trump if Biden gets                                  the nomination.
                    Joe has the MO and wins on the first ballot
                    Coronavirus slows World and USA economy
                    West Virginia miners wise up
                    Trump has to dragged from WH on January 14th

Scenario 3
                 Cyclops awakes from deep sleep the day after democratic                                       convention
                 Realises that he has had a bad dream
                 The ticket is Klobishar/Butticieg
                 By acclamation on first ballot 
                 Sanders and Biden have dropped out in April
                 Bloomberg commits to spending another $400 million to MARA                   


 You choose  which scenario is most likely,most desirable or most disastrous

                                  The debate starts in five minutes

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